Every prediction placed on Outcome, on one page. Who trades, what settles, where the money goes — and how your own record compares.
Venue figures (traders, trades, volumes, open interest, markets and questions) come from Hydromancer's outcomeVenueStats for the Outcome venue. The tables, categories and YES/NO splits are computed from samples of settled outcomes returned by settledOutcomes: up to 100 across the venue, plus up to 100 per market category (sports, economics, politics…) — samples, not the whole venue. Short-term price markets are recognised by their price template; everything else counts as a market people argued about. A market's volume is its YES plus NO notional volume; its traders are the larger of the two sides (people can trade both, so the sides are not added). A multi-outcome question is shown once, with its winning outcome. Category shares are weighted by volume.
"Live now" lists the open markets with the most volume in the last 24 hours, from Hyperliquid's public outcomeMeta and spotMetaAndAssetCtxs; YES is the last mid price. Every settled market carries its settlement date (its last trade). When at least 8 markets settled in the last 60 days, the table shows only those, newest first; otherwise it shows the biggest settled markets of all time, by volume.
One server job refreshes these numbers once a day. If the latest refresh is older than 48 hours, the page shows "Data refresh pending" instead of numbers. Amounts are venue-wide totals, not anyone's wallet.
"Published their record" lists only traders who submitted their HIP-4 record from this app (10 resolved markets minimum), shown by the short address prefix they published under. It is a self-selected sample, not the venue.